Vietnam is projected to increase green coffee production to 32.5 million bags in 2026/27, according to USDA data.

THE Vietnam's green coffee production It should reach 32.5 million 60 kg bags in the 2026/27 marketing year., according to a report by the attaché of United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) in Ho Chi Minh CityThe volume represents a considerable increase compared to… 31.7 million bags estimated for the 2025/26 harvest.Of the total projected for the next cycle, 31.4 million bags will be robusta coffee. and 1.1 million bags of Arabica coffeeThe USDA attributes the growth in production to productivity gains stemming from Areas renewed between 2021 and 2023 as part of the Vietnamese government's reforestation program.According to Ministry of Agriculture and Environment of Vietnam, the total area cultivated with coffee in the country already reaches about 730,000 hectaresThe expansion of Robusta variety continues to gain momentum. through the use of more climate-resistant cultivarswhile the Arabica coffee growing area remains stable.Despite the positive outlook, the report points to structural challenges. Approximately 30% of Vietnamese crops are over 20 years old. and need to go through soil renewal and treatment processesIn addition, producers face increased production costs, with fertilizers and fuels rising approximately 30% and labor advancing 33% compared to the previous year. The USDA also warns that climate risks associated with the possible return of the phenomenon El Niño in the second half of 2026which can lead to hotter and drier weather in producing regions. As for exportsthe Vietnam It is expected to ship 28.95 million bags in 2026/27., 2% growth compared to 2025/26 and of 15% compared to 2024/25For the current cycle, The estimate was revised to 28.5 million bags. supported by strong production, improved quality, and the release of inventory in the face of the recent drop in international prices. Domestic consumption also continues to expand.the USDA projects domestic demand of 5 million bags in 2026/27This growth exceeds the 4.9 million projected for 2025/26. The increase is supported by the growth of the middle class, rising incomes, and a strengthening tourism sector. The report also highlights a shift in the profile of the Vietnamese consumer, with greater demand for specialty coffees, premium products, and modern brewing methods.

This text was translated by machine from Brazilian Portuguese.