USDA projects a 13% drop in Canadian wheat production in 2026/27.

Canada is expected to produce 34.6 million tons of wheat in the 2026/27 crop year, according to a survey by the attaché. from the United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) In Ottawa. The volume represents a 13% drop compared to the previous cycle, mainly reflecting the reduction in planted area and the return of productivity to levels closer to the historical average. Despite the expectation of lower production, the report highlights that crop conditions are favorable so far. "Although it is still early in the season, the productivity of spring wheat and durum wheat presents very promising prospects, and weather conditions have generally been very favorable since crop emergence. Indicators suggest that yields could be above average," the document states. On the demand side, domestic consumption is estimated at 8.1 million tons, below the 9.5 million tons recorded in 2025/26. According to the USDAThe reduction stems from the lower availability of wheat destined for animal feed, in a scenario of excellent conditions for other crops in the Prairie Provinces. Canadian exports are also expected to decline in the 2026/27 season, following the lower domestic supply. Shipments are projected at 27.9 million tons, compared to 29.9 million tons in the previous cycle. Imports, on the other hand, are expected to remain stable at 600,000 tons, supported by demand from the wheat-based food industry and the expectation of sufficient supply of feed grains in the domestic market.

This text was translated by machine from Brazilian Portuguese.