At 10:15 am (Brasília time) this Monday (16), the Ibovespa It was operating with a strong increase of 1.80%, to 180,843.20 points. On Friday (13), the main indicator of Brazilian Stock Exchange (B3) It fell 0.91%, to 177,653.31 points, with an accumulated loss of 0.99% for the week. Of greater weight in the composition of B3Vale (VALE3) and the actions of Petrobras (PETR3; PETR4) They recorded gains of 1.00%, 0.71%, and 0.67%, respectively. Still in B3Investors are awaiting the release of new quarterly earnings reports from companies listed on the stock exchange. Ibovespaamong them MinervaBRFCemigTaesa and NaturaThis morning, investors are monitoring the impact of rising oil prices on domestic inflation. Last week, the federal government announced a reduction in… PIS/Cofins regarding diesel, a measure that occurred in parallel with the readjustment promoted by Petrobras, which raised the price of fuel sold to distributors by R$ 0.38 per liter, to an average price of R$ 3.65 per liter. Among the economic indicators, the Central Bank (BC) reported that the Central Bank's Economic Activity Index (IBC-Br) The index — considered an indicator of Gross Domestic Product — advanced 0.80% in January compared to December. The monetary authority also released a new edition of the Focus Bulletinwhich pointed to an increase in projections for the Selic rate and the IPCA in 2026. The week will also be marked by the so-called "Super Wednesday"when the Monetary Policy Committee (Copom) and the Federal Reserve (Fed) They will announce their monetary policy decisions on the 18th. The expectation is that… Copom Evaluate possible adjustments to the benchmark interest rate after maintaining the Selic rate at 15% at the beginning of the year. As for… Fed Interest rates should remain in the range of 3.50% to 3.75% per year. Internationally, market participants are operating cautiously in light of the ongoing war. Middle East involving the United States, Israel, and Iran, which enters its third week without clear signs of easing tensions. The main concern of the markets is related to… Strait of HormuzThe canal is a logistics corridor through which approximately 20% of the world's traded oil passes. The canal remains closed by Iranian forces, with passage authorized only for vessels from countries not directly involved in the conflict. Meanwhile, the President of the United States… Donald Trump[The government] is trying to form an international coalition to reopen the strait by force. However, allies such as Japan and Australia have indicated that they do not intend to send military ships to the region at this time.

This text was translated by machine from Brazilian Portuguese.