At 9:15 am (Brasília time) this Wednesday (15), the commercial dollar The exchange rate registered stability with an upward bias (0.02%), quoted at R$ 5.0780, but with a partial loss of 0.55% for the week. On the previous day (14), the exchange rate fell 1.01%, quoted at R$ 5.0770. DXY The index that compares the strength of the dollar against major global currencies was up 0.06%. This morning, market attention is focused on Brazil's political and trade scenario. Expectations are high for the decision. from the Office of the United States Trade Representative (USTR) Regarding the proposal to apply additional tariffs of 25% on Brazilian products. The announcement is expected by the end of the day and could affect more than 4,000 items exported by Brazil. In the political field, a Genial/Quaest poll released today showed that President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva maintains an eight-percentage-point lead over Senator Flávio Bolsonaro in a possible second round of the presidential elections. Among domestic economic indicators, the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE) The report indicated that the volume of services fell 0.4% in May compared to April, interrupting part of the 1.1% increase recorded in the previous month. Compared to February 2020, the pre-pandemic period, the sector remains 19.6% above the level of activity, although it is 0.5% below the historical record reached in October 2025. In relation to May of last year, the volume of services grew 0.4%, registering the 26th consecutive positive result in the annual comparison. Abroad, investors are awaiting the release of the data. of the Producer Price Index (PPI) for June and of Beige Book of the Federal Reserve (Fed)Documents that may offer new clues about the next steps in US monetary policy are being released. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East are also on the radar. The US Armed Forces reported launching a new offensive against Iranian targets in the early hours of Wednesday. In response, Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps threatened to close "all other export corridors that benefit the United States and its allies," according to Iranian state media. This scenario again boosted oil prices, with Brent trading above $85 a barrel and WTI near $80. On Wall Street, sentiment remained positive for the technology sector, after better-than-expected results from semiconductor equipment manufacturer ASML reinforced optimism surrounding investments linked to artificial intelligence.
This text was translated by machine from Brazilian Portuguese.