At 9:07 am (Brasilia time) this Thursday (11), the commercial dollar showed a slight decrease of 0.10%, quoted at R$ 5,1600, but with a partial gain of 0.17% for the week. Yesterday (10), the exchange rate closed down 0.12%, quoted at R$ 5.1690. The DXY The index comparing the strength of the dollar against major global currencies showed a downward bias. This morning, investors were monitoring developments in the Middle East tensions. The United States and Iran exchanged attacks for the second consecutive day, increasing uncertainty about the maintenance of the ceasefire agreed two months ago. During the early hours of the morning, US authorities reported that they had concluded their latest military operation against Tehran. At the same time, signs of progress emerged in diplomatic negotiations between the two countries. According to Iranian sources and a European official, Washington and Tehran are discussing the details of a memorandum of understanding after reaching a preliminary political agreement. Among the topics under discussion are mechanisms for the release of billions of dollars in frozen Iranian assets. Also abroad, attention is focused on the release of… Producer Price Index (PPI) US data and weekly jobless claims figures. These indicators could provide new clues about the trajectory of inflation and the next steps in monetary policy. Federal Reserve (Fed)Investors are also watching the interest rate decision. from the European Central Bank (ECB) …and the press conference of the institution's president, Christine Lagarde. The market expectation is for a 0.25 percentage point increase in the eurozone's basic interest rate, to 2.25% per year. In Brazil, the highlight was the services sector. According to… Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE)The volume of services grew 1.2% in April compared to March, when it had registered a contraction of 1.1%. With this result, the sector is now operating 19.9% above the level observed before the pandemic, in February 2020, and is only 0.3% below the historical record reached in October 2025. The data reinforces the perception of resilience in economic activity and is being closely monitored by the market before the release of the [data/report/etc.]. IPCA of May, scheduled for this Friday (12), and the next meeting of Monetary Policy Committee (Copom)In the political arena, investors are reacting to the Senate's approval of projects with a high fiscal impact. Among them is the proposal to renegotiate rural debts, whose estimated cost could reach R$ 140 billion over ten years, increasing concerns about the trajectory of public finances.
This text was translated by machine from Brazilian Portuguese.