THE commercial dollar The exchange rate closed this Wednesday (24) with a slight increase of 0.27%, quoted at R$ 5.1980, with an advance of 0.64% in the partial week. At its highest point of the day, the exchange rate rose to R$ 5.2190; at its lowest, it fell to R$ 5.1850. The market continued to react to the prospects of higher interest rates for longer in both Brazil and the United States, a scenario that favors the appreciation of the dollar and reduces the appetite for higher-risk assets. In Brazil, investors assessed new signs of Central Bank (BC) that the monetary easing process should occur gradually. The monetary authority indicated a worsening of inflation expectations and highlighted the prospect of accelerating economic activity in the second half of the year. Last week, the Monetary Policy Committee (Copom) Brazil reduced the Selic rate by 0.25 percentage points to 14.25% per year, marking the third consecutive cut in the benchmark interest rate. In the US, economic data released the previous day reinforced the perception that… Federal Reserve (Fed) It could keep interest rates high for a longer period. Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) The composite index, which combines information from the industrial and service sectors, rose to 52.2 points in June, reaching its highest level since January. Growth in industrial activity was the strongest in six years, signaling the resilience of the U.S. economy. Among the indicators released this Wednesday, the… Brazilian Institute of Economics of the Getulio Vargas Foundation (FGV Ibre) reported that the Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) The index fell 0.1 points in June compared to May, to 88.7 points. However, in the three-month moving average, the indicator advanced 0.2 points, reaching 88.9 points. Internationally, oil prices fell again following progress in diplomatic negotiations between the US and Iran. According to a spokesperson for the International Maritime Organization (IMO), ships have resumed transit through the Strait of Hormuz as part of a plan to normalize maritime operations in the region, reducing some fears about disruptions to the global energy supply. Tomorrow (25), investors' attention will be focused on a series of relevant economic indicators. In Brazil, the IPCA-15 June's figure is considered a preview of official inflation. In the US, the market will be watching the data from… personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price indexThe main measure of inflation monitored by the Federal Reserve, in addition to weekly jobless claims.
This text was translated by machine from Brazilian Portuguese.