THE dollar The commercial exchange rate closed this Monday (13) with a slight increase of 0.45%, quoted at R$ 5.1290. At its highest point of the day, the exchange rate rose to R$ 5.1380; at its lowest, it fell to R$ 5.1070. In this trading session, the market adopted a more risk-averse stance due to the escalation of tensions in the Middle East, which boosted international oil prices by more than 9%. Throughout the day, Iran carried out attacks against US military bases in Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman and Jordan, in response to US offensives against Iranian targets. Tehran also threatened to abandon the peace agreement signed with Washington in June if the US does not fulfill its commitments to end the conflict. In recent days, the US has intensified bombings against Iranian military installations. On Saturday alone, more than 100 targets were hit, according to US authorities. In response, the Iranian government announced the indefinite closure of the Strait of Hormuz to commercial vessels and expanded military actions against US positions in the region. US President Donald Trump stated that the US will "take control of the Strait of Hormuz" and declared his intention to levy a 20% tax on all cargo transiting through the strategic waterway. Domestically, investors reacted to the announcement of the new… Focus Bulletinof Central BankThe median projection for the IPCA (Brazilian consumer price index) in 2026 fell from 5.30% to 5.16%, while the estimate for 2027 rose from 4.18% to 4.20%. Projections for the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) remained practically stable. The growth expectation for 2026 was maintained at 1.99%, while the forecast for 2027 decreased from 1.69% to 1.65%. In politics, a BTG/Nexus poll released this Monday showed stability in the second-round scenario for the presidential election. President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva appears with 47% of voting intentions, while Senator Flávio Bolsonaro registers 44%, repeating the result of the previous survey. Negotiations between Brazil and the United States to avoid the application of new tariffs on Brazilian products also remained on the radar. The deadline for the White House to decide on adopting tariffs of 25% and 12.5% against products from Brazil ends on Wednesday (15). According to government officials, President Lula maintains the negotiation strategy until the deadline, although he considers the adoption of the measures by the Donald Trump administration likely.
This text was translated by machine from Brazilian Portuguese.