THE dollar The commercial exchange rate ended this Monday (3) with a slight increase of 0.32%, quoted at R$ 5.0850. At its highest point of the day, the exchange rate rose to R$ 5.0900, while at its lowest point it fell to R$ 5.0510. In this trading session, investors focused their attention on the meeting of Monetary Policy Committee (Copom) of Central Bank (BC), whose decision will be announced on Wednesday (5). In the morning, the BC released a new edition of Focus BulletinThe report, which showed a reduction in market expectations for the Selic rate at the end of 2026, from 14.00% to 13.75% per year, indicates that the prevailing expectation is that the Copom (Monetary Policy Committee) will implement another cut in the basic interest rate. Analysts, however, believe that the monetary authority will adopt a cautious tone and avoid clearer signals about the next steps in monetary policy. Among the economic indicators, the S&P Global reported that the PMI Industrial Brazil It fell from 50.8 to 47.5 in July, returning to contraction territory and registering its worst performance since February. In the political arena, research BTG/Nexus A poll released this Monday indicated a technical tie in a potential second round of the presidential elections between President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, with 45% of voting intentions, and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro, with 46%. The survey also showed a close race between Lula and Ronaldo Caiado, with 46% and 42%, respectively. Abroad, markets continued to monitor developments in the Middle East conflict. US President Donald Trump reiterated his intention to resume negotiations with Iran after canceling new military strikes over the weekend. The Iranian government, in turn, denied having requested a halt to hostilities, contradicting the statements of the US president.
This text was translated by machine from Brazilian Portuguese.