THE commercial dollar The exchange rate closed this Wednesday (1st) with a moderate increase of 0.85%, quoted at R$ 5.2080, with a gain of 0.83% for the week. At its highest point of the day, the exchange rate rose to R$ 5.2150; at its lowest, it fell to R$ 5.1750. In this trading session, investors reacted to statements by the president of Federal Reserve (Fed)Kevin Warsh, during his participation in a panel discussion. European Central Bank (ECB)In Sintra, Portugal, the official reinforced the monetary authority's commitment to the 2% inflation target and signaled that it does not intend to prematurely ease monetary policy. "If people thought this central bank would feel comfortable with an inflation target above 2%, they will be disappointed," Warsh stated. According to the tool… FedWatchof CME Group72.7% of investors are betting on the US benchmark interest rate remaining between 3.50% and 3.75% per year at the next meeting. Fed, while the rest project an increase of 0.25 percentage points. In the field of economic indicators, the Automatic Data Processing (ADP) It was reported that the U.S. private sector created 98,000 jobs in June, below the expected 118,000 positions and the 122,000 jobs registered in May. This data precedes the release of the official employment report (payroll), scheduled for Thursday (2). Also in the US, the S&P Global reported that the Industrial Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) The index fell from 55.3 points in May to 53.9 points in June, below the market projection of 55.7 points. In Brazil, the market reacted to the news that the US Treasury Department had imposed sanctions against two Brazilian citizens and three companies for alleged links to the Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC). According to some investors, the measure increases the perceived risk of Brazilian assets at a time of heightened market sensitivity. On the other hand, the S&P Global reported that the PMI Industrial Brazil's index rose from 49.1 points in May to 50.8 points in June, again indicating expansion in manufacturing activity as it surpassed the 50-point mark. Internationally, attention remained focused on negotiations between the US and Iran. US President Donald Trump stated that the Iranian denuclearization process "is progressing well." Meanwhile, the Tehran government reiterated that there are no direct negotiations underway in Qatar, stating that working groups are only monitoring the implementation of the memorandum signed between the parties before advancing to a final agreement.
This text was translated by machine from Brazilian Portuguese.