Optimism marks the arrival of the 2025/26 harvest in the State of São Paulo. The State Government, through the Secretariat of Agriculture and Supply, released new data from the agricultural harvest forecasting and monitoring survey. The figures, consolidated by the Institute of Agricultural Economics (IEA-APTA) and the Directorate of Integral Technical Assistance (CATI), point to a scenario of growth for grains and coffee, while traditional sectors such as oranges and sugarcane face challenges in terms of area and productivity. First-crop corn production is expected to jump 38% compared to the previous period, reaching 2.01 million tons. The growth in production is driven by a combined increase in area and efficiency in the field. The area dedicated to grain cultivation is expected to grow by 23.1%, while the average productivity in São Paulo's crops is estimated at 7,469 kg/ha, an increase of 12.2% compared to the last harvest. The survey reveals that production is highly concentrated in five strategic regions, which together account for 58.6% of the state's total volume [Table 1]. Soybeans, one of the main pillars of São Paulo's agriculture, are expected to see an 11% increase in production, reaching 4.57 million tons. This increase is driven by a record productivity of 3,663 kg/ha, with the Itapeva region standing out, accounting for almost 19% of the expected production. Thus, the three regions with the highest estimated production for the 2025/26 harvest are Itapeva, Assis, and Ourinhos, which together account for 39.7% of the total projected production in the state. In the coffee sector, the first survey for the new 25/26 cycle estimates a harvest of 4.7 million 60 kg bags. Although the cultivated area has suffered a slight decline of 0.9%, productivity is expected to grow by 5.7%. The Franca region remains the dominant force, responsible for more than 57% of all coffee harvested in the state, with a production of 2 million bags. Another 1.1 million bags (23.6%) registered in the CATI Regional of São João da Boa Vista together account for 4/5 of the entire state production. The Ourinhos, Marília, Bragança Paulista, and Jaú regions complete the picture of São Paulo's coffee supply, with Ourinhos standing out, having surpassed Marília for the first time in third place in the ranking of São Paulo's production. :: 24/25 Harvest: Final figures for oranges and sugarcane for industry The November 2025 survey finalizes the 24/25 harvest estimates for relevant crops in the state, such as oranges and sugarcane. The report raises an alert for citrus farming. Orange production totaled 268.7 million boxes, with a productivity of 30,965 kg/ha (2.8% higher) compared to the previous harvest, but with a 9.5% reduction in cultivated area. The article highlights that the result is a direct reflection of the high incidence of citrus greening, the main disease affecting the global production chain, in addition to climatic variations. Sugarcane destined for industry also ended the cycle with a decline. Production of 390.9 million tons represented a 4.6% decrease compared to the previous period. The total area shrank by 4.8%, totaling 5.5 million hectares. Productivity, recorded at 78,057 kg/ha in the 2025 harvest, showed a slight increase of 0.5% compared to the previous year. According to the report, the crop is widespread in virtually all CATI regional offices, with São José do Rio Preto (8.2%), Barretos (7.2%) and Ribeirão Preto (6.8%) standing out, together accounting for 22.2%.
This text was translated by machine from Brazilian Portuguese.