Soybean production costs in Mato Grosso are expected to increase by 3.21% in the 2026/27 crop year.

The cost of producing soybeans for the 2026/27 crop in Mato Grosso is expected to increase by 3.21% compared to the previous crop. According to a survey released on Monday (15) by the Agricultural Production Cost (CPA), the cost of the crop is estimated at R$ 4,315.29 per hectare. The CPA Project is developed by the National Rural Learning Service of Mato Grosso (Senar MT), through the Mato Grosso Institute of Agricultural Economics (Imea). Among the components that most pressured the cost of the 26/27 crop are fertilizers and soil amendments, which registered an increase of 5.40%, influenced by geopolitical factors, in addition to agricultural pesticides, which advanced almost 11% compared to the previous cycle. Furthermore, the CPA Project survey indicates that the break-even point of the activity increased by 9.13%. This means that producers will need to achieve higher productivity or sell soybeans at higher prices to maintain the profitability of the activity. According to Milena Bezerra, a soybean market analyst at Imea, the economic environment presents challenges for planning the next soybean season in Mato Grosso. “The more restricted rural credit scenario limits producers' investments, both in machinery and in the technological package used in the fields. Therefore, we have a combination of climatic and economic factors that can put pressure on productivity and influence investment decisions on farms,” she states. In addition to this increase in costs, the next harvest may also be marked by climatic factors that require the soybean farmer's attention. “The 2026/27 harvest remains in a more cautious scenario. From a climate perspective, uncertainty regarding the intensity of El Niño is a concern for the sector, as this phenomenon directly impacts crop development and limits the productive potential of the fields. It is not yet possible to predict how rainfall will behave, but the presence of El Niño conditions in the Equatorial Pacific has already been confirmed, indicating anomalies in the distribution of precipitation,” explains Milena.

This text was translated by machine from Brazilian Portuguese.