Morning Call Jun 08th, 2026



Analysis DATAGRO
NY raw sugar market remained subdued, extending its downward trend throughout the week. July 2026 fell another 13 points on Friday, settling at US$ 14.14 c/lb, just 10 points above last week's level.
 
NY #11: the strong start to the 26/27 crop in Center-South Brazil continues to more than offset support from white sugar premiums, maintaining pressure on the physical market.
 
White sugar premiums remained firm, with the Aug/Jul premium rising 5.4% to US$ 135.17/mt and the Oct/Oct premium increasing 4.3% to US$ 118.66/mt, as the ongoing hostilities in the Persian Gulf region continues to disrupt trade flows.
 
CFTC: funds and small specs increased their net short position in the NY raw sugar market from 111,538 lots on May 26th to 135,104 lots on June 2nd.
 
CS Brazil: ethanol market for producers remained illiquid. Demand continues to push for lower prices amid increasing supply, while some mills have accepted lower offers to strengthen cash flow.
 
CS Brazil: last Friday, hydrous ethanol for producers in São Paulo traded at R$ 2.2132/liter, up 0.9% WoW, while anhydrous ethanol traded at R$ 2.5272/liter, down 2.0% WoW, both ex-mill, net of taxes.
 
CS Brazil: in Paulínia (SP), CIF price of hydrous ethanol settled the week at R$ 2.3816/liter net of taxes, up 1.3% during the period, according to DATAGRO Price Reporting Agency (PRA).
 
CS Brazil: the export parity price for VHP sugar is estimated by DATAGRO at US$ 14.54 c/lb FOB Santos, remaining 49 points above the remuneration of hydrous ethanol in São Paulo.
 
CS Brazil: ethanol stocks held by mills in the region reached 2.895 billion liters on May 16th (+72.7% YoY), consisting of 1.975 billion liters of hydrous ethanol (+79.9% YoY) and 920 million liters of anhydrous ethanol (+59.0% YoY).
 
CS Brazil: according to DATAGRO estimates, until May 16th, ethanol stocks would be sufficient to supply the domestic market for 32 days in the case of hydrous ethanol (+13 days YoY) and 23 days for anhydrous ethanol (+7 days YoY).
 
Guatemala: 25/26 crop officially completed on May 24th, with cane crushing reaching 26.7 mmt (+6.6%) and sugar production totaling 2.814 mmt (+11.0% – DATAGRO estimate was 2.79 mmt).
 

 

Agenda para hoje
 
● DATAGRO World Sugar & Ethanol Weekly Review.

● DATAGRO Fuel Prices Report.