Ibovespa shows a slight increase this Monday morning, reaching 188,000 points.

At 10:19 am (Brasilia time) this Monday (6), the Ibovespa It was operating with a slight increase of 0.19%, at 188,402.47 points. On Thursday (2), the main indicator of Brazilian Stock Exchange (B3) It closed stable with an upward bias (+0.06%), at 188,052.02 points, with an accumulated advance of 3.58% in the week. Of greater weight in the composition of B3a Vale (VALE3) It registered an increase of 0.59%. Conversely, the shares of Petrobras (PETR3; PETR4) They were operating without a defined direction, down 0.13% with an upward bias (+0.08%).

 

Geopolitics remains on the radar.

This morning, investors are following developments in the Middle East conflict as the deadline set by the United States for an agreement with Iran regarding the Strait of Hormuz approaches. US President Donald Trump has hardened his rhetoric again, threatening to intensify attacks if no agreement is reached by Tuesday (7). Meanwhile, Pakistan has presented a mediation proposal, called "Islamabad agreement", which foresees the reopening of the strait within a period of 15 to 20 days.

US data reinforces economic outlook.

In the macroeconomic field, the employment report (payroll) of the US indicated the creation of 178,000 job openings in Marchhigher than expected by the market, while the unemployment rate fell to 4.3%The effects of the war on the US economy should be seen in upcoming inflation indicators. The market is closely watching the release of… PCE, on Thursday (9) — the Federal Reserve’s preferred indicator —, and of March CPI, scheduled for Friday (10).

Focus raises inflation in Brazil.

In the domestic context, the Central Bank (BC) The Focus Bulletin was released, with upward revisions to inflation projections. The market now estimates the IPCA (Brazilian consumer price index) at… 4.36% for 2026 and 3.85% for 2027Meanwhile, expectations for GDP growth, exchange rates, and interest rates remained unchanged. The president of BCGabriel Galípolo is participating this afternoon in an event promoted by FGV/Ibre. In addition, A S&P Global informed Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) Composite for Brazil The index – which includes the service and manufacturing sectors – fell from 51.3 in February to 49.9 in March. Services PMI It also declined during the period, falling from 53.1 to 50.1. Levels above 50 points indicate expansion of economic activity, while levels below 50 points indicate contraction in the sector. In the political arena, the federal government is preparing a package of economic measures, including actions on fuels, energy, and credit, amidst the electoral scenario.

This text was translated by machine from Brazilian Portuguese.