Gross Value of Agricultural Production is expected to reach R$ 1.39 trillion in 2026.

The Gross Value of Production (VBP), which measures the revenue of the agricultural sector, is projected to reach R$ 1.39 trillion, a 4.8% decrease compared to 2025, according to a forecast by the Brazilian Confederation of Agriculture and Livestock (CNA). This result reflects a combination of lower real prices and, to a lesser extent, variations in production. For agriculture, the estimated revenue for 2026 is R$ 903.5 billion, a 5.9% reduction compared to 2025. Soybeans, which have the largest share of the agricultural VBP, are expected to see a decrease of only 0.5% in VBP, even with increased production (3.71%). For corn, the forecast is for a 6.9% decrease in VBP, due to lower prices (-4.9%) and reduced production (-2.05%). Sugarcane is expected to see a 5.6% decrease in revenue due to falling prices (-5.2%), despite a slight increase in production (0.37%). On the other hand, Arabica coffee will perform positively, with a 10.4% growth in VBP (Value of Production), driven mainly by a significant increase in production (23.29%), despite the expected reduction in prices (10.5%). For livestock, the estimated VBP is R$ 485.3 billion, a 2.6% decrease compared to 2025. Beef was the only product with projected revenue growth (7.6%). For the other products in the segment, a decrease is expected, reflecting lower real prices received by producers. In this context, projected revenue reductions are 19.1% for milk, 13.3% for eggs, 10.2% for pork, and 5.8% for chicken.

This text was translated by machine from Brazilian Portuguese.