Global coffee prices fell 3.8% in May, driven by improved supply outlook.

The International Coffee Organization's Composite Price Indicator (I-CIP) averaged US$ cents 256.05 per pound in May, down 3.8% from April, as the market continued to react to more favorable prospects for the global supply of the commodity.

Among the main coffee groups, Arabica beans registered the largest declines during the period. Colombian mild beans fell 3.3%, to an average of US$ cents 323.45/lb, while other mild beans dropped 4.8%, to 315.42 cents. Brazilian natural beans showed an even more intense decline of 6.4%, reaching US$ cents 293.73/lb.

According to the International Coffee Organization (ICO), the pressure on Arabica coffee was reinforced by the reaffirmation, on the part of the National Supply Company (Conab), of the expectation of a record coffee harvest in Brazil in the 2026/27 cycle.

Conversely, robusta coffee futures advanced 1.1% in May, reaching an average of US$ cents 166.51/lb.

The International Coffee Organization also reported that global coffee exports in all its forms fell 0.9% in April compared to the previous year, totaling 12.05 million bags. Shipments of green coffee, in turn, decreased by 1.9%, to 10.51 million bags.

The decline occurred despite an 11.2% increase in shipments of green robusta beans, which reached 4.5 million bags. Exports of green arabica coffee, however, registered a drop, notably for Brazilian naturals, whose shipments fell 14.8% to 2.91 million bags, and for Colombian milds, which dropped 14% to 780,000 bags.

In the first seven months of the 2025/26 coffee year, the share of Arabica coffee in global green coffee exports fell to 60.4%, compared to 64.2% in the same period of the previous crop year.

This text was translated by machine from Brazilian Portuguese.