DATAGRO Grains makes a new cut in its estimate for the 2025/26 Brazilian corn crop.

THE DATAGRO Grains This week, it released its new monthly report with a survey for Brazil's 2025/26 corn crop, bringing important adjustments compared to the previous month, resulting in a lower production estimate.

Summer corn

At the national level in Brazil, the projection for the area planted with summer corn in the 2025/26 crop year was slightly increased from 4.151 to 4.156 million hectares, representing an 8% increase compared to the previous season. The consultancy also positively adjusted the expected average productivity, from 6,908 kg/ha to 6,958 kg/ha. With this, the production estimate rose from 28.675 to 28.916 million tons, a volume 14% higher than that harvested in the 2024/25 crop year (25.301 million tons). The summer corn harvest is in its final stages. (Survey conducted by…) DATAGRO Grains Data up to May 15th shows that work has reached 91% of the projected area for the Center-South of Brazil, after advancing 2.7 percentage points (pp) in seven days. At the same time last year and on average over the last five years, harvesting had already exceeded 98%.

Winter corn

On the other hand, for winter corn, whose crops are in the final stages of development, the adjustments to the estimates were mostly negative. The projection for the planted area went from 18.715 million hectares in the April report to 18.782 million hectares in the current one – 1% higher than that recorded in the last season. The expected average productivity fell from 6,105 kg/ha to 5,983 kg/ha, compared to 6,318 kg/ha in the last cycle. Therefore, 112.378 million tons of corn are expected to be harvested in the second crop, a volume 1.6% lower than projected in March and 5% lower compared to the 2024/25 season.

Total for both harvests

Adding together the first and second harvests, Brazil is expected to harvest 141.295 million tons of corn in the 2025/26 season, a volume 1% lower compared to the 143.305 million tons recorded in the previous cycle, according to the new projection from [source missing]. DATAGRO GrainsThe April estimate was 142.941 million tons.

This text was translated by machine from Brazilian Portuguese.