Brazil will experience rain in the Southern Region and rising temperatures.

According to the new VIP weather report from the DATAGROBrazil and Asia will experience distinct weather patterns over the next seven days. In Brazil, rainfall is expected throughout the week, particularly in western Santa Catarina and southwestern Paraná, where volumes could range from 40 to 60 mm. In other areas of the region, rainfall should be between 5 and 30 mm. Precipitation is also forecast for southern Minas Gerais and eastern São Paulo, but with volumes between 5 and 15 mm, which should have little impact on coffee harvesting operations. In other regions of Brazil, the chance of rain is low this week, favoring the progress of the sugarcane harvest, especially in areas that had a wetter start to the season, such as Paraná, Mato Grosso do Sul, and the Presidente Prudente region in São Paulo. Regarding winter corn, despite reduced rainfall in the Central-West region, soil moisture remains in good condition for crop development. In early May, areas of Paraná had the lowest humidity levels, but the rains recorded in recent weeks have contributed to the recovery of water levels. Regarding temperatures, after cooler days in much of the South and in the southern portions of the Southeast and Midwest, values should gradually rise throughout the week, remaining close to climatological averages. Therefore, despite the drier weather and rising temperatures, there is no risk of heat waves in Brazil. The hottest areas should be concentrated in the north of the Midwest and in Matopiba, with highs close to 35°C. In Asia, the main system responsible for rainfall in the region, the Asian Monsoon, should advance over the state of Tamil Nadu, in southern India. Historically, the monsoons reach Indian territory around June 1st. Therefore, the first more widespread rains may be observed in India. Precipitation is also forecast for Thailand, Vietnam, and Indonesia. These rains are fundamental for the development of the region's main agricultural crops, especially sugarcane, rice, corn, coffee, palm oil, and rubber. Regarding temperatures, even with the rains forecast throughout the week, values should remain slightly above average in Southeast Asia, but without risk of heat waves. Finally, the document highlights that, for the second consecutive week, the Sea Surface Temperature (SST) anomaly in the ENSO monitoring region remains above the neutral limit. According to NOAA monitoring, anomalies in recent weeks have varied between +0.5 and 0.6°C, a value consistent with the beginning of El Niño conditions. Climate models continue to indicate an intensification of the phenomenon in the coming months, with a peak predicted between November and January, a period in which it could reach strong intensity and, eventually, conditions compatible with a Super El Niño. Unlike the event observed between 2023 and 2024, this El Niño could favor rainfall not only in the South region, but also in parts of the Southeast and Midwest regions of Brazil. This scenario could impact the progress of sugarcane, coffee, and winter corn harvests. The predicted behavior differs significantly from that observed in the second half of 2024, when intense heat waves and dry weather prevailed in much of the country. For the North region, rainfall is expected to decrease between September and October, mainly in areas of the Amazon. In Southeast Asia, El Niño tends to reduce rainfall in India and Indonesia, potentially impacting crops such as sugarcane, rice, and palm oil. For Vietnam and Thailand, current forecasts indicate rainfall volumes close to climatological averages.

This text was translated by machine from Brazilian Portuguese.