April will see rainfall in the South, Southeast, and Matopiba regions, and a drier start in the Central-West, according to DATAGRO.

The month of April, a period of climatic transition in Brazil — marked by the shift from hot and humid conditions to a milder and drier pattern — is expected to register rains in the states of Paraná, São Paulo and Minas Geraisin addition to the region of Matopiba.

In this area, the role of Intertropical Convergence Zone (ZCIT), which peaks between March and April, is expected to maintain the rainier pattern.

According to a survey by DATAGROthe The Central-West region begins the month with low rainfall volumes., a scenario that tends to change over the coming weeks.

Changes throughout the month

For the second week of April, the models ECMWF and CPTEC indicate Below-average rainfall in Mato Grosso and MatopibaVolumes above normal in the South and Southeast regions. 

In the second half of the month, the scenarios diverge, with the ECMWF designing Above-average rainfall in north-central Brazil. and close to normal in other areas. CPTEC estimates Drier start to the season in the South and Southeast, followed by a rainier period at the end of the month

For Matopiba, the trend is… reduced rainfall in the second half of the month.

High temperatures at the beginning and a cold front in the middle of the month.

The beginning of April should be marked by high temperaturesespecially in Rio Grande do SulIn the remaining areas of the South and in the Midwest, temperatures are expected to range between near and above average levels.

Over the course of the days, the trend is to gradual rise in temperatures, until the arrival of a most intense cold front, scheduled to operate between the days April 13th and 20th, according to the European model.

CPTEC projects, during this period, Temperatures between 1°C and 2°C below average. in various regions of the country. There is still uncertainty regarding the intensity and exact timing of this cold front's arrival.

By the end of the month, the scenario indicates return to typical seasonal conditions, with temperatures ranging from near to above average across most of the country.

The first quarter favors agricultural production.

The first quarter of 2026 recorded Good rainfall amounts in the main producing regions.with the exception of the southern region, which experienced irregular rainfall due to La Niña.

Still, the rainfall recorded at the end of 2025 helped to to mitigate losses in soybean and corn productivity. in the region. In other areas, favorable weather conditions support positive prospects.

THE DATAGRO projects a record coffee production, with 72 million bags in the 2026/27 crop season, a 17% increase, and a Sugarcane crushing in the Center-South region reached 642.2 million tons., an increase of 5.2%.

For more details, visit the VIP Report in analysis session of DATAGRO Portal.