Sugar mills in Brazil’s Center-South region are expected to process 642.2 million tons of sugarcane in the 2026/27 harvest and produce 40.98 million tons of sugar, according to a new estimate from DATAGRO, presented during the event. CITI ISO DATAGRO New York Sugar and Ethanol ConferenceThe 19th edition of the conference – which is the official content event of Sugar Week – takes place this Wednesday (13) in New York and brings together the main leaders and experts of the global sugar-energy sector. As presented by the president of DATAGRO, Plinio Nastari, with a mix more focused on ethanol this season, the production of the biofuel in the Center-South should hit a record of 38.61 billion liters – already including the volume from corn processing. Including in the calculation the projected production for the North and Northeast of Brazil in 2026/27, the sugarcane milling in the country is estimated by DATAGRO at 698 million tons, with production of 44.2 million tons of sugar and 41.4 billion liters of ethanol.

Global sugar balance

Nastari also indicated that the global sugar market will end the 2025/26 crop year (Oct/Sept) with a small surplus of 570,000 tons in gross value. For 2026/27, DATAGRO projects a deficit of 3.17 million tons. The main drivers of these estimates are the production mix in Brazil’s Center-South region, which is more oriented towards ethanol, at least during the first months of the current crop year; the potential impacts of the El Niño anomaly in India and Indonesia; and the reductions in planted area in Europe and Thailand.

This text was translated by machine from Brazilian Portuguese.