Coffee markets are seeing gains on the B3 and Nymex this Friday morning.

At 11:00 am (Brasilia time) this Friday (10), the May contract for Arabica coffee traded on Brazilian Stock Exchange (B3) The price registered a strong increase of 1.80%, quoted at US$ 390.05 per 60 kg bag. The July contract, however, remained stable at US$ 367.20/bag. New York Mercantile Exchange (Nymex)The May contract advanced 1.06%, to US$ 296.80/sc, while the July contract rose 1.19%, quoted at US$ 293.00/sc. This morning, market participants followed new data on global coffee demand, as well as new weather projections. International Coffee Organization (ICO) The report pointed to a contraction in global exports in the short term. In February, shipments totaled 11.46 million bags, a 5.7% decrease compared to the same period last year. However, in the first five months of the 2025/26 crop year, the volume reached 57.77 million bags, a 4.5% increase compared to the same period of the previous cycle. Regarding the weather, the… U.S. Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) The probability of El Niño forming between May and July 2026 has been raised to 61%. After the end of La Niña and a brief period of neutrality in March, the warming of the Pacific waters should sustain the phenomenon until the beginning of 2027, with a 25% chance of reaching very strong intensity by the end of the year.

This text was translated by machine from Brazilian Portuguese.